Thursday, April 9, 2015

Greece has two weeks to produce red meat.

In this article, "Greece has two weeks to produce red meat", Hugo Dixon analyzes the current financial situation Greece is in and discusses what changes need to be made in order to avoid defaulting in the near future. (Link Here to the Article)


Dixon describes Greece's current standing with this statement,
"Greece has scraped together enough cash to meet the IMF payment, in part by extracting liquidity from quasi-state entities. However, the radical-left government has pretty much exhausted its techniques for squeezing blood out of a stone. Meanwhile, it has largely wasted two and a half months in office by lecturing creditors, sending out mixed messages about its willingness to default and coming up with amateurish proposals.
Now the government needs to get serious – unless Alexis Tsipras, the prime minister, is really willing to default, impose vicious capital controls and exit the euro."


The article then goes on to discuss the euro zone, and that the euro zone has little trust in Greece's government to do the right thing with any financial backing the euro zone may provide. Euro zone creditors want explanations and for Greece's government to take some meaningful actions before they lend Greece any more money. 


Alexis Tsipras, the Prime Minister of Greece, has to implement some unpopular measures and take the political losses to prove that he means business to the rest of the euro zone. Dixon believes that there are three main areas of reform that Greece needs to focus on: pensions, tax, and banking. These three areas are very troublesome for the Greek economy, and changes need to be made, otherwise Greece will default and be forced to leave the euro zone.


Many of the issues Dixon mentions have to do with politics getting in the way of these three areas acting as they should. Dixon says,
"Third, banking. Athens rightly says the sector has been marred by clientelism and too close a link with the political system. The snag is that this government has seemingly continued to meddle itself."
Greece is currently being scrutinized for its efforts because nobody is sure what the government and banks are doing to try and change the current situation. 


Many of the issues Greece is facing were talked about by Ben Bernanke in "The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis." The banks within Greece are not able to act freely, rather they are controlled by politicians who do not want to upset their supporters. Without the ability to act independently of the government, I do not see how these banks can make any changes to the current financial crisis in Greece. The euro zone seems like it would be willing to help if Greece had a plan, but Greece does not have a plan or the trust of the euro zone right now. It seems as though the government needs separate itself from the banks of Greece and establish a precedent that they are serious about reform, otherwise Greece will default.

9 comments:

  1. In order for Greece to earn back the trust of other EU countries, especially the lending countries, it needs to implement full structural reforms of its economy and financial system. This new government needs to seriously enforce taxes so that it has the money to function as a government and work on fixing the country's issues. I also agree with Roni in that the banking system needs to be separated from politics so that it can do its financial job more soundly.

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  2. I can't even think of how a central bank avoids being political when a country's well being is linked to others within the EU. ... Of course political biases are ineffective to some extent but to expect any institution to not be political would be a little naive.

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  3. I do agree with the idea that central banks need to operate independently of political biases. And that Greece government should seriously consider this because there seems to be no other way to gain trust from other countries in the Eurozone.

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  4. The government needs to come up with a way to generate money necessary to make interest payments in the future. Whether it be via taxes or stimulating the economy. I recently ready an interesting article leading up to Greece IMF payment. The government stated that when it would come down to choosing it's citizens or making the payment, the choice would be obvious.

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  5. The government needs to come up with a way to generate money necessary to make interest payments in the future. Whether it be via taxes or stimulating the economy. I recently ready an interesting article leading up to Greece IMF payment. The government stated that when it would come down to choosing it's citizens or making the payment, the choice would be obvious.

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  6. Politicians and the general public should stop focusing on the various twists and turns of the current negotiation of a new Greek bailout. They are neglecting the most important fundamental problems of the euro zone. They should work on the real problem in the area which is the persistent disparities between its Member States.

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  7. Politicians and the general public should stop focusing on the various twists and turns of the current negotiation of a new Greek bailout. They are neglecting the most important fundamental problems of the euro zone. They should work on the real problem in the area which is the persistent disparities between its Member States.

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  8. Greece will definitely have to determine how they will pay back interest rates and debt. They could repudiate some of the debt, or increase taxes, or take loans to pay debt, or remove from the EU to start a new central bank with a new inflated currency to decrease the overall value owed. Overall, this is a morbid situation.

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  9. I agree the previous comments stated above. I think that the Greece Central Bank should be able to operate independently and, not give into political pressures which they may receive. Also, I think the Greece government needs some serious re-structuring and, sufficient policies in order to generate money through the employment of such methods like increasing taxes are greatly needed.

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