Wednesday, April 1, 2015

Poor Greece: What Austerity Looks Like

I read an article in The New Yorker this morning about life in Greece (click here to go to the article).  Greece is in the midst of a depresssion:

For many, Syriza represented the first real hope in years that Greece could climb out of economic crisis. Most of the patrons, including Panos Alexopolous, a welder by trade, had long been out of work. “You wait and wait for something to change,” he told me, “but those previous governments were all the same.” He was laid off in 2009; a year later, Greece, which had racked up enormous debt, agreed to a bailout from international creditors on the condition that it impose a harsh regimen of spending cuts and other economic reforms. His pension dwindled to about four hundred and fifty dollars a month and, following a cut of forty per cent to the country’s health budget, his medical costs soared. Soon, his family was on bread lines. Sometimes, he would set up on a street corner with a sign asking for spare change, but always in a neighborhood far from home so that no one would see. “Syriza,” he said, “is the first government that will give us our pride back." 

Previous Greek governments had overspent.

Years of such corruption and tax evasion, coupled with reckless expenditure—as a share of G.D.P., for instance, Athens spent almost twice the E.U. average on military purchases—pushed the Greek state into massive budget shortfalls, prompting the government to borrow heavily. In late 2009, the government announced that it had racked up enough debt to be running a deficit of almost thirteen per cent of G.D.P., sparking fears of a default. Greece’s creditors were mostly European banks, which had, in part, used public bailout money following the 2008 credit crunch to scoop up Greek bonds. For example, French and German banks were on the books for thirty-one and twenty-three billion euros, respectively. The troika stepped in during the spring of 2010, and again in 2012, to orchestrate bailouts of the Greek government, offering two hundred and forty billion euros in loans in exchange for a drastic reduction in government spending and other measures to make the Greek economy more competitive. “Understand that this debt is symbolic,” Theocharakis said. “It’s simply too much to ever be paid back fully.”

So Greece gets bailed out.  But does it?


the troika and other creditors raised most of the bailout tranche from capital markets through low-interest bond issues, and then loaned the money to Greece at much higher rates. Close to ninety per cent of the money returns directly to the original creditors, or goes to recapitalize Greek banks; most of the funds don’t even touch the Greek government’s hands, landing instead for a few days in an escrow account, until they are transferred to bond holders. Eurogroup officials say that, in the short term, this circular flow is simply a way of avoiding a Greek default, and the political and economic fallout that would attend it, while the country creates the conditions for long-term financial health. From the perspective of many Greeks, though, it appears as if Germany and other euro-zone states are effectively bailing out their own banks, thereby rewarding poor lending decisions and speculation, and using the terms of the Greek bailout to enforce market liberalization. “Essentially,” said Theocharakis, “they are piling loans onto a country that’s already in so much debt.” Indeed, since the 2010 bailout, Greece’s debt-to-G.D.P. ratio has grown by fifty per cent.

The loan funds don't go to Greece or its people:  they go to the banks who had loaned the money to Greece in the past.  So the Greek people suffer today because of political decisions made in the past.  And their own government has very little power to change that suffering.  Why don't you Google Greece and add to the story line?  Do you think that the situation that Greece is in is fair? 

7 comments:

  1. It's unfortunate that Greek people today are facing the consequences of poor decisions in the past. In terms of fairness, it's tough to say if it is. On one hand, I think it's fair because the Greek government needs to pay for their mistakes. But on the other, do the people need to pay for the mistakes of their government? I don't think so. In this situation I feel badly for and can empathize most for the Greek people. But what can the people really do about it?

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  2. It is very interesting that the author attributes the support of Syriza to activists, especially finalizing the article with this passage:
    "For these activists, success means confronting the troika head-on and standing firm, mirroring the small acts of defiance that a growing number of Greeks have taken against their own creditors. In Galatsi, near central Athens, I visited a social assembly based in a soap factory run by the unemployed. One of its members, Stergis Theodoridis, an accountant who lost most of his clients in the wake of the crisis, told me that after he’d fallen into arrears on his electricity payments, representatives of the utility company showed up to cut his service, with eight police officers in tow. He phoned a friend in the social assembly, and soon his front yard was crowded with supporters, some linking arms. After a tense standoff, Theodoridis agreed to pay a portion of what he owed, and the company reps backed off. They never returned."

    I am not sure if Anand Gopal is equating the activists' leverage on the ground level to the macro-level changes that need to happen. It seems almost naive, especially considering the identity crisis of Syriza in identifying where it stands with the EU.

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    Replies
    1. Such an interesting story! I would love for you to tell us in class about your experiences in Greece and more about the struggles you've witnessed.

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  3. I had similar thoughts with Cameron's while reading this blog. It's interesting to know the realities of bailing out in Greece. I think that it is of course necessary to help the Greek economy, otherwise it would also affect other countries in the Eurozone. But the fund that is supposed to create more employment opportunities for the people are now used to pay for the government's past mistakes. And in the long term, the people are the one who pay for this new loan as well. I don't think it is fair for the Greek...

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  4. I had similar thoughts with Cameron's while reading this blog. It's interesting to know the realities of bailing out in Greece. I think that it is of course necessary to help the Greek economy, otherwise it would also affect other countries in the Eurozone. But the fund that is supposed to create more employment opportunities for the people are now used to pay for the government's past mistakes. And in the long term, the people are the one who pay for this new loan as well. I don't think it is fair for the Greek...

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  5. I think from the eurogroup perspective this method of bailout is the best soluution to quickly stop Greece from defaulting. However, I don't think it is fair the citizens of Greece should have to experience this type of economic hardship because their political leaders failed to make effective policies that would promote economic growth and, improve the standard of living of the citizens. I think the only thing the citizens can do is voice their opinion and, vote for a presidential candidate that has concrete methods to bring the Greek economy back from turmoil. Though, I think even the citizens of Greece are beginning to reached a point where the continuous political corruption is becoming the "new normal" and, as a result distrust as well as lack of hope for economic prosperity are increasing. I think policies and governmental restructuring can be a possible way out of the continuous political corruption in Greece?

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  6. I do not believe it is fair for the people of Greece to have to go through this economic struggle due their previous corrupt political leaders. It has been absolutely toxic for the Greek economy to be involved with austerity measures. In my opinion, there are only a few situations that would uplift Greece from their economic crisis. 1st - If the lenders to Greek banks ate a large proportion of the high risk loans they provided (chalking it up to as a bad investment). 2nd - If Greece broke away from the EU and created a new currency/banking system allowing them to default on their previous loans indefinitely. Lastly, Greece could wait out a long economic struggle, while continually receiving bailouts from the ECB until the creditors are paid (at this point Greece would be able to start monetary and fiscal policy to kickstart the economy and finally have some economic growth).

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