While it Trump currently holds a large lead in delegates (which will most likely grow after the New York and Pennsylvania primaries), it is still unlikely that he will receive the necessary 1,237 delegates to win the nomination out right. Which brings the question what will happen at the Republican Convention in June and who will win the nomination? The outcome of this decision has huge political implications for the U.S, however some top New England Republicans such as Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker, as well as several Vermont Senators plan on skipping the convention. While they have their own obligations in their home states, shouldn't their primary focus be on the Republican Convention to determine to Republican nominee?
https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2016/04/14/top-republicans-skip-gop-convention/XCl5W6CiiKKGIdb9RZx1xL/story.html
https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2016/04/14/top-republicans-skip-gop-convention/XCl5W6CiiKKGIdb9RZx1xL/story.html
Certainly a difficult question Bharath. I'm honestly not sure what will happen if this goes to a convention. I am inclined to agree with you, however, that it seems unlikely that Trump will be able to secure the necessary 1,237 number, especially with Cruz right on his heels. Cruz's team has an excellent ground presence, and their long-term strategy to get delegates has been paying off. Here's some interesting quotes from an article I read recently on the matter.
ReplyDelete"Voting in primaries and caucuses — stages where Trump has excelled — is only part of the nomination process. Many states also select specific delegates via conventions. In many cases, delegates who are bound to a candidate on a first ballot are free to back anybody on subsequent votes."
"Ted Cruz and his organization understood from the very beginning that the nomination is voted on by delegates," said Lowman Henry, the Cruz state chairman in Pennsylvania. "It's not a direct election primary."
While Cruz is still behind, I think he's going to continue to successfully draw delegates away from Trump.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/
I definitely think that Trump is going to get the nomination, whether or not it's secured by the upcoming primaries in the east coast. I am interested to see if his behavior changes after winning the nomination. Many are speculating that his wacky beliefs would tone down a bit. This still begs the question, though, about what will happen if he actually ended up being our president.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.thestreet.com/story/13335121/4/if-donald-trump-was-president-here-s-what-would-happen-to-the-u-s-economy.html
This article from thestreet.com provides a pretty in-depth breakdown on Trump's economic plan. As we were discussing in class the other day, some of it seems not so Republican. I'm very interested to see how/if these positions would change if he were to win the election.